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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.31+3.63vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.75+3.99vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.44-1.33vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30-2.05vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.05-0.72vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+0.39vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.93+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.34-0.49vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-1.67-0.63vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.27-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-2.33vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-3.08-0.81vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-2.51-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.63Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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2.67North Carolina State University1.440.3%1st Place
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2.95Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.28Clemson University0.050.1%1st Place
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7.39Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.82Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.37SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.75Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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12.19William and Mary-3.080.0%1st Place
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11.13North Carolina State University-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Kempton | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 16.3% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Travis Tucker | 30.4% | 23.3% | 19.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 23.2% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Justin Harler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Mary James | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 13.9% |
| Drew Davey | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Claude Owen | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 45.2% |
| Baxter Barrett | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.