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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.31+3.59vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+0.59vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+0.71vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.30-1.12vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.05+0.27vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.75-0.18vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.67+1.22vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.93+0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.34-1.42vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.27-0.27vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-2.38vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-2.51-1.85vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-3.08-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.59North Carolina State University1.440.3%1st Place
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3.71Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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2.88Jacksonville University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.27Clemson University0.050.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.22SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.93Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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10.73Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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11.15North Carolina State University-2.510.0%1st Place
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12.19William and Mary-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Kempton | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 32.7% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 15.3% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 24.6% | 24.6% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 5.4% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| David Sutton | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.6% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 4.8% |
| Justin Harler | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
| Mary James | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 14.4% |
| Drew Davey | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Baxter Barrett | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 21.2% |
| Claude Owen | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.