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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.30+1.85vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.31+2.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.44-0.38vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.05+1.20vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.78-1.16vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.75-0.15vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.93+1.84vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-2.27+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.34-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-1.29vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-3.08+0.26vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-2.51-1.86vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-1.67-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Jacksonville University1.300.3%1st Place
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4.55Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.62North Carolina State University1.440.3%1st Place
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5.2Clemson University0.050.1%1st Place
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3.84Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.84Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.73Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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12.26William and Mary-3.080.0%1st Place
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11.14North Carolina State University-2.510.0%1st Place
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9.16SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaynah True | 27.1% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Kempton | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 32.5% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cabiness | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Justin Harler | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 8.5% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% |
| Mary James | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Drew Davey | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.0% |
| Claude Owen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 44.5% |
| Baxter Barrett | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.