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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marlena Fauer 15.1% 15.0% 13.6% 15.8% 11.4% 9.7% 10.2% 6.1% 3.1%
Sydney Bolger 29.1% 23.8% 17.6% 11.4% 8.7% 5.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.5%
Krysta Rohde 9.0% 9.8% 11.5% 11.6% 12.4% 13.5% 12.4% 11.3% 8.5%
Corey Hall 8.0% 10.9% 11.0% 12.2% 13.0% 12.4% 11.1% 11.5% 9.9%
Morgan Wilson 10.6% 12.7% 14.7% 11.3% 11.7% 11.2% 11.3% 8.9% 7.6%
Abby Featherstone 9.7% 9.6% 11.1% 12.1% 12.5% 14.1% 13.4% 9.9% 7.6%
Christine Porter 5.1% 4.7% 4.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.5% 12.3% 19.7% 27.3%
Emilie Mademann 6.4% 7.6% 7.7% 8.9% 11.1% 12.2% 13.5% 14.5% 18.1%
Marissa Lihan 7.0% 5.9% 8.0% 8.7% 10.6% 11.9% 14.1% 16.4% 17.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.