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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.39+5.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.17+5.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.53+3.09vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.73+0.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.50+4.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.20-0.69vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.64+0.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.76+3.35vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.28+4.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.61-7.01vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.03-1.92vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.73-5.96vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.09-0.39vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.61-2.95vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.96-2.77vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-1.64-1.75vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Roger Williams University1.398.5%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College1.176.5%1st Place
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6.09Boston College1.5310.8%1st Place
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5.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8014.0%1st Place
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5.75Boston College1.7312.4%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University0.503.5%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.5%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University1.207.8%1st Place
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9.3Boston University0.644.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.6%1st Place
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14.35University of Vermont-0.761.7%1st Place
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16.4Bentley University-1.280.7%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University1.6110.2%1st Place
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12.08Brown University0.031.7%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College0.734.5%1st Place
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15.61University of Connecticut-1.090.8%1st Place
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14.05University of New Hampshire-0.611.4%1st Place
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15.23Olin College of Engineering-0.960.8%1st Place
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17.25Salve Regina University-1.640.7%1st Place
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13.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 22.9% |
| Tristan McDonald | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| James Frady | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 10.9% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 34.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.