← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.09+7.56vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.65vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.07+5.82vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.70vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.15vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.48+1.44vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.40+4.46vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.92+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.69-2.38vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.14-1.56vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.49-3.59vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.37-0.50vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.12-4.21vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.93-8.32vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.47-3.87vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.46-4.65vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.58-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.56University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
6.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.82Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.44Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.46Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.21Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
6.62Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.44Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.41Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.5Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
-
8.79Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
5.68Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
11.13Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
-
11.35Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
-
14.1University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Charles Miller | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Long | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Max Clapp | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| JC Hermus | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter Neal | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Walter Henry | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.