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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+6.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.29vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+1.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+3.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.83vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07+1.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-1.59vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.49-2.95vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.92-1.41vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.37-0.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-4.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.47-2.68vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.40-3.60vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-4.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.58-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.65Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.86Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.59Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.32Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.4Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Charles Miller | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Max Clapp | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Peter Neal | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
| Walter Henry | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Noah Janssen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.