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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+10.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+6.59vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.63vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.86vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.92+3.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.58+5.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.50vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.66vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-2.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.14-3.43vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.71vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.07-5.03vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.46-3.79vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.47-4.71vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.37-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.15Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.66Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.74University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.29Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.57Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 4.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Charles Miller | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 40.6% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| JC Hermus | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% |
| Peter Neal | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.