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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+5.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+6.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.92+6.47vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.07+4.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47+4.25vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.40+3.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.92vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-4.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.12vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-0.72vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.14-4.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.68-3.34vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.49-7.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.58-1.90vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.95Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.25Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.25Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.27Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.1University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Max Clapp | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Tucker Hersam | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Preston Duclos | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 41.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.