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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.39+5.67vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+3.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+4.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.20+2.29vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.64+11.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.53-0.78vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.73-2.38vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.28+7.64vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.64-0.48vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.67vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.17-4.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.03-1.24vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.73-4.92vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.96+0.24vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.50-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.09-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.61-3.84vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-5.31vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont-0.76-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Roger Williams University1.398.5%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University1.6111.1%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.8015.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.3%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University1.207.4%1st Place
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17.22Salve Regina University-1.640.2%1st Place
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6.22Boston College1.539.6%1st Place
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5.62Boston College1.7312.4%1st Place
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16.64Bentley University-1.280.3%1st Place
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9.52Boston University0.644.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.8%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College1.176.3%1st Place
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11.76Brown University0.033.0%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College0.734.9%1st Place
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15.24Olin College of Engineering-0.961.0%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University0.503.6%1st Place
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15.52University of Connecticut-1.090.7%1st Place
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14.16University of New Hampshire-0.610.8%1st Place
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13.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.5%1st Place
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14.59University of Vermont-0.760.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 33.7% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 24.3% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 12.9% |
| James Frady | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.