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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+7.57vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.58+8.29vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+4.33vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68+1.66vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.40+1.40vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.92-1.35vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-4.74vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.47-1.61vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.49-6.65vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.69-8.51vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.07-7.07vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.14-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.66Roger Williams University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.4Fordham University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.39Boston College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.35Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 43.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Charles Miller | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Preston Duclos | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Tucker Hersam | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
| Max Clapp | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.