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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+7.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.85vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.56vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.46+0.98vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+1.12vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-1.56vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.62-1.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-2.17vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-4.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.17+0.34vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-7.06vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.76-7.14vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.26-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.44Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.7Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.34Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Munger | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Brill | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 19.2% | 41.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 20.5% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.