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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+5.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.42vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+10.18vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+3.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+4.07vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59+2.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-0.84vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-2.25vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.82-2.21vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.84-3.56vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-5.99vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-4.84vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.04-7.30vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.26-1.95vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.76-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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14.18Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 20.9% | 39.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Munger | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 20.1% | 35.6% |
| Brendan Read | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.