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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.12vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+5.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+5.55vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+3.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+1.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.32vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-0.31vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.17vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-2.01vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-4.29vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.82-4.28vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.62-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.26-1.05vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.17-1.65vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.49-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.08Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.72Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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14.35Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael Munger | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 36.1% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 19.4% | 40.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.