← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.12vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.84+6.37vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.24+3.92vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.91vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+3.74vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.97+2.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.76+1.84vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.46-1.97vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.82-0.21vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.04-2.50vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-3.39vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin1.26+2.03vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.49-2.94vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.62-4.45vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.82-6.46vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.59-6.46vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.17-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.12U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.37Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.92Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.15Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.84University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.03Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
8.79Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.5Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
14.03University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.06Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.55Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
-
8.54Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.54Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
-
14.3Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael Munger | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Read | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 20.5% | 36.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 18.9% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.