← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.24+5.77vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.25vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.85vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.97+4.03vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.84+3.28vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.46+0.31vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.82+1.64vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+0.84vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.04-1.14vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.82-1.52vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.59-1.34vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.49-2.18vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.49vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.76-5.05vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.62-5.63vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.26-1.90vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.17-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.77Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
8.25U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
8.03Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.28Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.31Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
8.64Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
-
7.86Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
8.48Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.66Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
-
9.82Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.95University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
9.37Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
-
14.1University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
-
14.28Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Michael Munger | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 20.4% | 35.8% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.