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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+6.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+4.82vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+5.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+3.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+2.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.62+2.43vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.46-1.99vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59+0.74vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-1.55vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.84vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-2.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-5.17vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.26+0.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-7.09vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.17-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.84Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.11University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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14.32Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Read | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Walden | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Michael Munger | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 19.9% | 37.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 20.5% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.