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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.73+3.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.64+6.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+2.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.20+2.65vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.53+0.67vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.17+1.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.39-1.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.73-0.81vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.03+1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.76+2.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-3.39vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.93+1.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-0.77vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.67vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.09-0.99vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.28-1.32vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.96-3.38vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.50-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Boston College1.7313.4%1st Place
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8.75Boston University0.644.8%1st Place
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5.51Roger Williams University1.6111.7%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University1.208.6%1st Place
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5.67Boston College1.5312.2%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College1.178.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University1.3910.0%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College0.736.0%1st Place
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11.14Brown University0.032.9%1st Place
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13.97University of Vermont-0.761.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.1%1st Place
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14.07Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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13.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.3%1st Place
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13.33University of New Hampshire-0.611.1%1st Place
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15.01University of Connecticut-1.090.9%1st Place
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15.68Bentley University-1.280.7%1st Place
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14.62Olin College of Engineering-0.961.1%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University0.504.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| James Frady | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 29.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.