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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+4.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.58vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+3.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04+1.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.29vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.46-2.74vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-2.00vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.26+1.99vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-3.84vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.59-4.32vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-5.15vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.62-6.55vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.17-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.26Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.43Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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9.85Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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14.3Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Read | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 19.7% | 36.7% |
| Michael Munger | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 18.7% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.