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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+8.61vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+6.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.14vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+1.80vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59+1.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.00vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-1.54vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-3.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-5.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-4.90vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.62-4.46vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.17-0.85vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-6.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.26-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.46Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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14.15Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Noah Simmons | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 17.9% | 40.6% |
| Michael Munger | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Erin Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 20.3% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.