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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+7.25vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+6.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+2.81vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+4.06vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.62+2.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.46-2.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59+0.74vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-2.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-5.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.58vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.82-5.27vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.26-1.08vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.17-1.64vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.04-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.73Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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14.36Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Munger | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Read | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 36.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 20.8% | 39.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.