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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+6.48vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+5.90vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+6.00vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.55vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+4.73vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.46+0.31vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.86vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.62+1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.26+5.14vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-1.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.50vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-6.91vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.17-0.79vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.59-6.43vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.82-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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14.14University of Wisconsin1.260.0%1st Place
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8.47Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.21Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.57Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Michael Munger | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Erin Sullivan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 21.9% | 36.5% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 39.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.