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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.83+9.27vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.69+8.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.50+4.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+4.52vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.82+5.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.60+1.31vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+0.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.06-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-3.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.20-0.89vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-4.80vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.05-2.36vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-7.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.58vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.90-8.78vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.68-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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11.27Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.75Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
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8.31Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 18.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 16.3% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Jack Behrend | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Sam Morrell | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.