← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.59+3.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.82+9.29vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+3.30vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.68+7.86vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.90+2.05vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.90+1.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.93+0.01vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College1.69+3.56vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+2.64vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.06-3.54vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.22vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.05-1.49vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University1.83-1.51vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.20-3.89vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.50-6.31vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.50-7.25vs Predicted
-
17Brown University2.60-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.71Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
-
11.29University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.86Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.05Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.32Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.01University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.56Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.46Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
-
10.51Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.49Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.11Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
8.75Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.48Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Behrend | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 15.6% |
| Sam Morrell | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.