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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+5.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.05+7.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+5.93vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.69+6.59vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+0.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.60+1.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+0.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.48vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-3.61vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.06-5.43vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.83-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-6.80vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.68-3.18vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.82-4.49vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.59Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.34Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.54Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 17.9% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Michael Tellini | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 15.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.9% |
| Jack Behrend | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.