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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.53+4.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.61+3.30vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.73+5.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39+2.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.64+3.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.20+0.70vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.73-1.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-0.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.17-1.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.03+1.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93+3.11vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.76+0.69vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.96+0.58vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.50-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-1.09-0.89vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.28-1.26vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-4.92vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire-0.61-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Boston College1.5310.4%1st Place
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5.3Roger Williams University1.6113.5%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College0.736.2%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University1.3910.4%1st Place
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8.81Boston University0.644.0%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University1.208.2%1st Place
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5.1Boston College1.7314.4%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.826.2%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College1.177.8%1st Place
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11.07Brown University0.033.0%1st Place
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14.11Salve Regina University-0.931.1%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.685.1%1st Place
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13.69University of Vermont-0.760.9%1st Place
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14.58Olin College of Engineering-0.960.9%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University0.503.6%1st Place
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15.11University of Connecticut-1.090.5%1st Place
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15.74Bentley University-1.280.5%1st Place
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13.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.2%1st Place
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13.4University of New Hampshire-0.611.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogelio Casellas | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 29.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| James Frady | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.