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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+7.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.69+8.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.06+2.64vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.82+6.17vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.05+4.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+0.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.50+0.56vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.61vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-1.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.90-3.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.60-3.63vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.41vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-4.18vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.90-7.84vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.68-4.08vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.83-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.74Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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6.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.92Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.42Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 16.1% |
| Sam Morrell | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Behrend | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 16.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.