← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.59+3.67vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.60+6.26vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.20+6.89vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.05+6.49vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.83+6.16vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.50+2.94vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.90+0.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.93-1.03vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-2.54vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.90-2.93vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.16vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.50-3.32vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.40vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin1.82-2.51vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College1.69-3.23vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.06-9.42vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.68-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.67Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
-
8.26Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.89Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
-
10.49Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.16Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.94Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.17Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.97University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.07Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
-
8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.77Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.58Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.94Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 19.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Walter Gnann | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% |
| Jack Behrend | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.