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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+5.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.83+9.28vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+1.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+4.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90+2.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.05+4.71vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+2.92vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.06-2.26vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.60-1.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-5.70vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.50-4.18vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.82-2.44vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.55vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.69-4.10vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.68-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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11.28Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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4.82Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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11.9Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.95Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.3% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Behrend | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% |
| Michael Tellini | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.4% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.