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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.06+4.51vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.83+8.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.20+4.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.60+2.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.90+0.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.69+3.58vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-1.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-1.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-4.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.90-4.80vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.68-0.95vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.82-2.45vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.05-4.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.50-7.18vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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6.51Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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11.36Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.6Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.58Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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12.05Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Naval Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 17.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Francis Doyle | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
| Christopher Keller | 2.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 11.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 17.6% |
| Jack Behrend | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.