← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+8.12vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.06+4.51vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.59+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.20+5.99vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.68+6.71vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.93+1.25vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.90+0.16vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.50+0.55vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.83+2.60vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.90-2.88vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.05-0.35vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin1.82-0.64vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.60-4.47vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College1.69-2.05vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-8.65vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-4.45vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.50-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.51Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
-
4.79Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
-
9.99Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
-
11.71Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.16Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.55Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
11.6Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.12Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
-
10.65Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.36University of Wisconsin1.820.0%1st Place
-
8.53Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
11.95Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
-
8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Sam Morrell | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 16.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Francis Doyle | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
| Jack Behrend | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Michael Tellini | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.8% |
| Jake Vickers | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.