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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.35vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65+9.47vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.05+6.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.57+1.32vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.46+3.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.04+0.86vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10-0.42vs Predicted
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8Amherst College0.53+0.40vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20-5.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.27-5.78vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.03-6.05vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.94-1.42vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.08-8.11vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.07-3.41vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.71University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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5.32Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.58Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.4Amherst College0.530.0%1st Place
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3.63Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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6.22Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.95Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.940.0%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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12.59Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.87Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 24.3% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher King | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Martin Tipton | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam Gibbs | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Perham Black | 20.1% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Scott Ferreira | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 22.6% | 30.9% |
| John Duncan | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 32.8% |
| Lucie Rochat | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.