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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.68vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+2.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.61+1.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.34vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.22-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29-2.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-4.33vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.59Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.72College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.64University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.67Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krysta Rohde | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 20.4% |
| Christine Porter | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 22.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.1% |
| Corey Hall | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.4% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.