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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.20+5.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.17+4.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.53+2.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.73+1.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.39+1.23vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.73+2.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+1.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+0.87vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.61-3.72vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.64-1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.76+2.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.50-2.62vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.03-1.66vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-0.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-0.95vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.28-0.35vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.61-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-1.09-3.10vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.96-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Tufts University1.208.4%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College1.177.4%1st Place
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5.55Boston College1.5312.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston College1.7314.6%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University1.399.2%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College0.735.9%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.9%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.683.5%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University1.6113.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University0.645.1%1st Place
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13.92University of Vermont-0.761.3%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University0.504.5%1st Place
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11.34Brown University0.032.2%1st Place
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13.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.4%1st Place
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14.05Salve Regina University-0.931.4%1st Place
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15.65Bentley University-1.280.9%1st Place
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13.36University of New Hampshire-0.611.5%1st Place
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14.9University of Connecticut-1.090.9%1st Place
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14.64Olin College of Engineering-0.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.6% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 28.6% |
| James Frady | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.