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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.08+5.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+1.81vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.46+5.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.27+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36-1.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.57-0.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.04+0.03vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98-4.51vs Predicted
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10Bentley University1.03-3.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65+0.77vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.05-3.03vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.37-2.72vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.07-2.20vs Predicted
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16Amherst College0.53-7.47vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.94-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.81Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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8.65Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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5.53Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.49Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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6.99Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.97University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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11.28Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.8Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.53Amherst College0.530.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Duncan | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Perham Black | 19.6% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 21.7% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher King | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 10.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 35.6% |
| Adam Gibbs | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Scott Ferreira | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.