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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.68+2.00vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.23+4.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+1.29vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.14+2.36vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61-0.64vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.65vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.43-2.19vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.57-3.58vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22+0.21vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-2.49+0.84vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.30-0.29vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.78-4.75vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.59-4.01vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.68-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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6.28Yale University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.29Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.36Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.36Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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8.65Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.42Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.84Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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12.71Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
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9.25Bentley University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.99University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nannig | 27.9% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Robison | 18.7% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Bowton Eaves | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 29.8% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 24.7% | 23.4% |
| Kailey Sullivan | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 5.3% |
| Austin Schofield | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.