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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.68+0.90vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.65+5.61vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14+3.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.43+0.86vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.57-0.50vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64-1.74vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-2.64vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22+1.21vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.23-3.57vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.78-1.90vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.30-0.34vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-2.49-1.04vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.68-2.85vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.59-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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8.61Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.32Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University0.430.1%1st Place
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5.5Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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5.26Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.36Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.43Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.1Bentley University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.66Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
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12.96Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.95University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 19.6% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 30.5% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bowton Eaves | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Sullivan | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 24.0% | 31.1% |
| Austin Schofield | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 22.8% | 35.7% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.