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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.43+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68-0.05vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.65+4.73vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.78+4.07vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.57-0.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64-1.77vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22+2.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.23-2.69vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.14-2.57vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.61-5.62vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-2.49+1.03vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.68-1.87vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-2.30-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University0.430.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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8.73Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.07Bentley University-0.780.0%1st Place
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5.49Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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5.23Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.31Yale University0.230.1%1st Place
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7.43Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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13.03Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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11.12University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.680.0%1st Place
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12.46Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 19.9% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bowton Eaves | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 29.1% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Kailey Sullivan | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Preston Anderson | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 8.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 30.7% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Austin Schofield | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 36.3% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.