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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+4.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+3.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.96+4.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+3.76vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+0.54vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+1.67vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32+1.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-2.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.90-2.18vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.55+2.74vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-4.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.08vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.95-6.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.74Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.52Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Conner Harding | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 5.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 68.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.