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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+7.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+2.62vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+1.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+1.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+2.49vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-2.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-2.58vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.32-1.33vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.95-4.30vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.96-5.27vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.90-6.30vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.67George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.71Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Mack Fox | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 9.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 10.9% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.