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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+4.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+5.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+2.99vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+1.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+2.73vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.96+0.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.67vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.49-3.40vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.95-2.36vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-4.42vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.32-2.11vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-3.99vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-3.54vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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13.72Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Mack Fox | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack McGraw | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Conner Harding | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 5.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Colin Richards | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 10.2% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 11.0% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.