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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+5.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+3.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+3.73vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05+4.53vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+1.66vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-2.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.32+0.65vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.55+3.81vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-3.43vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.23-5.19vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.90-5.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.42vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.96-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.81Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Colin Richards | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 9.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 70.8% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Conner Harding | 8.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.