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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+3.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+5.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+1.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+2.52vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.32+0.64vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-1.18vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-3.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.46vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.95-5.25vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.96-6.58vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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13.73Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.8% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 21.4% | 10.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 4.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.