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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.73+4.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.53+3.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.61+2.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.39+2.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.20+1.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.13vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.64+1.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.03+3.32vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.28+6.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-1.26vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.73-2.66vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.17-5.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.50-3.71vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.76-0.12vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-1.09-0.12vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.61-3.41vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.93-4.14vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.96-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Boston College1.7312.7%1st Place
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5.51Boston College1.5312.0%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University1.6112.5%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University1.3910.9%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University1.208.5%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University0.645.2%1st Place
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11.32Brown University0.032.9%1st Place
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15.76Bentley University-1.280.5%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.684.8%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College0.734.8%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College1.177.9%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University0.503.7%1st Place
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13.88University of Vermont-0.761.5%1st Place
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14.88University of Connecticut-1.090.6%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.4%1st Place
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13.59University of New Hampshire-0.611.4%1st Place
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13.86Salve Regina University-0.931.7%1st Place
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14.62Olin College of Engineering-0.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 12.7% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Buck Rathbun | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 31.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 17.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| James Frady | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.