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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+3.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+4.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+1.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.50vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+0.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-3.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.82College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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5.3Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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4.66University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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3.64Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 14.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 22.0% |
| Corey Hall | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Emilie Mademann | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% |
| Christine Porter | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 22.7% |
| Abby Featherstone | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.0% | 19.2% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.