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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+6.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+3.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+3.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+4.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23-0.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+0.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-1.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.26vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-3.29vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.95-4.26vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-3.16vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.55-0.22vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.84Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.78Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 8.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.9% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Conner Harding | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 6.6% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 68.4% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 23.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.