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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+4.67vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.95+5.30vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+5.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.96+3.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+1.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+3.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+0.65vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-2.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.29vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.49-6.10vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-3.08vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.90-6.37vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.3Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.63Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.72Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Conner Harding | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 10.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 7.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 6.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.