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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+7.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+3.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+2.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+1.72vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.95+1.12vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+0.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-1.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-2.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.73vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.32-1.91vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-4.78vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-3.27vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.55-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.36Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.22Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.84Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 11.5% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Conner Harding | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Mack Fox | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 7.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Colin Richards | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 22.0% | 9.9% |
| Zachary Warner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.