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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+4.93vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+2.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+1.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.82+1.20vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.840.00vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.68-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.80-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-2.56vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74-0.37vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16-2.38vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.92-5.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.75vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.01-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.62Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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14.63Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Matt Logue | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Read | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 26.6% | 3.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 1.4% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 2.0% |
| John Colby | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.