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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+6.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+4.86vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+3.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+1.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.82+1.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.16+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80-0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-2.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74-0.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-5.41vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.68-5.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-3.76vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.01-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.86Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.34Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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14.64Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Max Clapp | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 27.1% | 4.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 1.9% |
| John Colby | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.