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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+4.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+4.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+2.59vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04-0.64vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09-1.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+0.32vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.80-3.80vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.68-4.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.57vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-3.43vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.01-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.36Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.63Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 1.7% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Matt Logue | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 0.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 24.0% | 2.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 26.8% | 3.4% |
| John Colby | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.