← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.04+5.32vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.76+5.20vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.28vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.82+3.11vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.16+4.35vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.82+1.20vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.09-0.78vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.68-0.30vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.97-2.42vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+0.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.80-3.75vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.84-4.68vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.01+1.71vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.74-3.43vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.92-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.32Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.2University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.11Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.35Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
7.2Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.22Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.7George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.58Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.32Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
14.71Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
10.57Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.82Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 1.3% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 21.6% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| John Colby | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 90.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 25.8% | 3.3% |
| Max Clapp | 7.8% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.