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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+5.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+4.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.23vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63+6.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+2.41vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+0.62vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.92-0.30vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.82-0.86vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.82-1.93vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-3.54vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.80-4.56vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.62vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-6.41vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.01-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.4Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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14.62Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 29.4% | 4.5% |
| Brendan Read | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 23.2% | 2.6% |
| Matt Logue | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| John Colby | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.